Government Affairs Update September 2018

Posted on: September 7th, 2018 by MCA

City of Chicago

Mayor Rahm Emanuel shocked the local political world on September 4th when he announced that he would not seek a third term as Mayor of the City of Chicago. Emanuel’s withdrawal from the race came as a surprise to many, including his staff, as he had insisted up until the announcement that he was running, and volunteers were passing petitions as recently as the week before. He had been raising money at a record clip. At the time of the announcement he had raised over $10 million, far outpacing any of his declared opponents, and had created several entities to advance his candidacy.

Prior to Mayor Emanuel’s announcement, the following people had either declared their candidacies or had floated trial balloons: Paul Vallas, Garry McCarthy, Lori Lightfoot, Willie Wilson, Ja’Mal Green, Neal Sales-Griffin, Amara Enyia and Jeremiah Joyce Jr.

Since Mayor Emanuel’s announcement, the following people have been mentioned as possible mayoral candidates: Toni Preckwinkle, Bill Daley, Valerie Jarrett, Kurt Summers, Anna Valencia, Tom Tunney, Suzana Mendoza, Luis Guttierez, Gery Chico and Ricardo Munoz.

Chicago’s mayoral election is a non-partisan run off election. That is, candidates do not run as Republicans or Democrats or under any party name. And, if no single candidate receives 50% plus 1 vote in the first round, the top two vote-getters participate in a run off. The nonpartisan primary vote is scheduled for February 26, 2019, and the run off date (if necessary) is April 2, 2019. Chicago’s new mayor will be sworn into office in May, 2019.

We will provide a brief biography of the mayoral candidates once the petition filing deadline has passed and we can assess who is likely to be on the ballot. The petition filing deadline is November 26, 2018.

City of Chicago Ordinance

There is also an ordinance floating around that would require work being done concerning Construction, repair or demolition equipment usage in the Central Business District and which basically increases the fines for violation. It is currently being opposed by the American Subcontractors Association of Chicago. View the ordinance here.

Government Affairs Note: We are monitoring this ordinance and expect to support the position of ASA. Will keep you posted.

State of Illinois

Governor Rauner vetoed IMSCA’s Retainage Reform Bill, Senate Bill 3052, on August 24, 2018. Unfortunately it appears that there are not sufficient votes for an override. Congratulations, though, to IMSCA and Jessica Neubold for moving this difficult measure through both chambers. MCA of Chicago and the labor community provided a significant assist in its passage. It is possible that Retainage Reform may reappear in the next General Assembly.

Government Affairs Note: Were working with Jessica at IMSCA to see if we can get some legislators to flip their vote, especially if they are lame duck.

Illinois’ General Election for the Governor’s Office and all constitutional officers will be held on November 6, 2018. All 116 seats in the Illinois House are also on the ballot, along with about one-third of the Illinois Senate. In addition, all of Illinois’ Representatives in the US Congress are up for reelection.

The Illinois General Assembly convenes for its 2018 Veto Session on November13, 2018. It will be in session from November 13 through 15, then from November 27-29. Note that the session occurs after the General Election, so when the legislature returns in November, we will know who the next Governor will be.

The General Assembly will then reconvene for its final days in January, 2019. The new 101st General Assembly will be sworn in mid January after the 100th adjourns for the last time.

National Races in Illinois

National attention is being paid in the 6th, 13th, and 14th Congressional Districts, where seats long held by Republican House members are suddenly competitive.

In the 6th Congressional District, incumbent Republican Peter Roskam of Wheaton faces challenger Sean Casten. Representative Roskam is in House Republican leadership, and was elected to Congress in 2007 after serving in the Illinois House of Representatives. The 6th District encompasses parts of Cook, Lake, DuPage, Kane and McHenry counties.

In the 13th Congressional District, incumbent Republican Rodney Davis of Taylorville faces challenger Betsy Dirksen Londrigan. Representative Davis has been in office since 2012; the seat has been held by the Republican Party since the 1800’s. The district is in central-western Illinois and includes parts of Urbana and Sangamon counties.

In the 14th Congressional District, incumbent Republican Randy Hultgren of Plano faces challenger Lauren Underwood. The district includes parts of DeKalb, DuPage and Will Counties. Representative Hultgren has been in office since 2011, having served in both the Illinois House and Senate beginning in 2003.

Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate

  • June 2018 U.S. 4.0%, Illinois 4.3% (34th)

Labor Participation Rate

  • June 2018 = 62.9%, May 2018 62.7%

CPI (All Urban Consumers)

  • June 2018 versus June 2017 = 2.90%

CPI Chicago All Items

  • June 2018 versus June 2017 = 2.20%

Union Membership

  • 2017 = 10.7%

30 Year Fixed Mortgage

  • July 4.53%, down 0.04% from June 4.57%

15 Year Fixed Mortgage

  • July 4.01%, down 0.03% from June 4.04%

Brent Crude Oil Price

  • $ 73.17 per barrel (as of July 31, 2018)
  • $ 145.61 per barrel all time high July 2008
  • $ 2.23 per barrel all time low May 1970

DJIA 25,415 as of July 31, 2018

  • 26,616.71 All Time High

Upcoming Events

IMSCA is honoring Senator John Mulroe and Leader Luis Arroyo at its Legislator of the Year Event. Senator Mulroe and Leader Arroyo were the lead sponsors of Senate Bill 3052. The event is hosted by IMSCA and free to attend. It is Thursday, September 27, 2018 at Carnivale, 702 West Fulton Street, Chicago, IL from 6:30 – 8:30 p.m. RSVP by September 20th to: jnewbold@boldnewstrat.com or Dan Day at dday@mca.org.